American Airlines Group Stock Analysis

AAL Stock  USD 15.10  0.11  0.73%   
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for American Airlines Group extending back to September 27, 2005. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of American Airlines stands at 15.10, as last reported on the 10th of February, with the highest price reaching 15.22 and the lowest price hitting 14.92 during the day.
IPO Date
27th of September 2005
200 Day MA
12.7364
50 Day MA
14.9724
Beta
1.225
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
American Airlines has over 35.97 Billion in debt which may indicate that it relies heavily on debt financing. At this time, American Airlines' Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year. Short Term Debt is expected to rise to about 5.1 B this year, although the value of Long Term Debt will most likely fall to about 19.1 B. American Airlines' financial risk is the risk to American Airlines stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt.

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

American Airlines' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. American Airlines' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps American Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect American Airlines' stakeholders.
For many companies, including American Airlines, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for American Airlines Group, the most critical issue when managing liquidity is ensuring that current assets are properly aligned with current liabilities. If they are not, American Airlines' management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet to meet obligations.
Enterprise Value Ebitda
21.4826
Price Sales
0.1825
Shares Float
651.3 M
Wall Street Target Price
17.6188
Earnings Share
0.17
Given that American Airlines' debt-to-equity ratio measures a Company's obligations relative to the value of its net assets, it is usually used by traders to estimate the extent to which American Airlines is acquiring new debt as a mechanism of leveraging its assets. A high debt-to-equity ratio is generally associated with increased risk, implying that it has been aggressive in financing its growth with debt. Another way to look at debt-to-equity ratios is to compare the overall debt load of American Airlines to its assets or equity, showing how much of the company assets belong to shareholders vs. creditors. If shareholders own more assets, American Airlines is said to be less leveraged. If creditors hold a majority of American Airlines' assets, the Company is said to be highly leveraged.
At this time, American Airlines' Common Stock Shares Outstanding is quite stable compared to the past year. Stock Based Compensation is expected to rise to about 139.6 M this year, although the value of Liabilities And Stockholders Equity will most likely fall to about 35.8 B. . Price Earnings Ratio is expected to rise to 95.78 this year, although the value of Price To Sales Ratio will most likely fall to 0.14.
American Airlines Group is undervalued with Real Value of 16.15 and Target Price of 17.62. The main objective of American Airlines stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what American Airlines Group is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of American Airlines' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
The American Airlines stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Airlines Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

American Stock Analysis Notes

About 69.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.12. American Airlines last dividend was issued on the 4th of February 2020. The entity had 0:1 split on the 9th of December 2013. American Airlines Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a network air carrier. American Airlines Group Inc. was founded in 1930 and is headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas. American Airlines operates under Airlines classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 129700 people. For more info on American Airlines Group please contact Robert Isom at 682 278 9000 or go to https://www.aa.com.

American Airlines Quarterly Total Revenue

14 Billion

American Airlines Investment Alerts

American Airlines Group has 35.97 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.53, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. American Airlines has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for American to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
American Airlines has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 69.0% of American Airlines shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from channelnewsasia.com: US Labor board gives up oversight of SpaceX in victory for Musk, Bloomberg News reports

American Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact American Airlines' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2023-04-27
2023-03-310.030.050.0266 
2010-07-21
2010-06-30-0.01-0.03-0.02200 
2024-04-25
2024-03-31-0.29-0.34-0.0517 
View All Earnings Estimates

American Airlines Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) Scores

American Airlines' ESG score is a quantitative measure that evaluates American Airlines' performance and commitment regarding environmental, social, and governance (ESG) factors. These scores are becoming increasingly crucial in investment decision-making processes, providing insights into non-financial aspects of American Airlines' operations that may have significant financial implications and affect American Airlines' stock price as well as guide investors towards more socially responsible investments.

American Airlines Thematic Classifications

In addition to having American Airlines stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Airlines Idea
Airlines
Major domestic and international airlines

American Stock Institutional Investors

Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2025-06-30
6.4 M
Renaissance Technologies Corp2025-06-30
6.2 M
Jane Street Group Llc2025-06-30
5.9 M
Wells Fargo & Co2025-06-30
5.3 M
Marshall Wace Asset Management Ltd2025-06-30
M
Northern Trust Corp2025-06-30
M
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2025-06-30
4.9 M
Millennium Management Llc2025-06-30
4.6 M
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2025-06-30
4.4 M
Vanguard Group Inc2025-06-30
62.2 M
Blackrock Inc2025-06-30
57.8 M
Note, although American Airlines' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

American Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 9.97 B.

American Profitablity

Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Equity(0.03)(0.03)

Management Efficiency

American Airlines has Return on Asset of 0.0165 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0165 of profit. This is way below average. American Airlines' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well American Airlines manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. At this time, American Airlines' Return On Tangible Assets are quite stable compared to the past year. Return On Capital Employed is expected to rise to 0.04 this year, although the value of Return On Equity will most likely fall to (0.03). At this time, American Airlines' Non Currrent Assets Other are quite stable compared to the past year. Other Current Assets is expected to rise to about 1.1 B this year, although the value of Non Current Assets Total will most likely fall to about 28.2 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share(5.64)(5.36)
Tangible Book Value Per Share(14.96)(14.22)
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 11.44  12.02 
Price Book Value Ratio(2.72)(2.85)
Enterprise Value Multiple 11.44  12.02 
Price Fair Value(2.72)(2.85)
Enterprise Value15.7 B16.4 B
Evaluating the management effectiveness of American Airlines allows investors to assess its financial health and operational efficiency. Coupled with an analysis of its growth prospects and the current market dynamics, we evaluate the stock's true value and future potential. Key indicators such as revenue, earnings or debt levels are examined alongside external factors like economic trends and regulatory changes. The American Stock analysis seeks to determine whether the stock is undervalued, appropriately priced, or overvalued, thereby guiding your investment decisions.
Operating Margin
0.0349
Profit Margin
0.002
Beta
1.225
Return On Assets
0.0165

Technical Drivers

As of the 10th of February, American Airlines shows the risk adjusted performance of 0.0726, and Mean Deviation of 2.06. American Airlines technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Please confirm American Airlines downside deviation, treynor ratio, expected short fall, as well as the relationship between the variance and potential upside to decide if American Airlines is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 15.1 per share. Given that American Airlines has jensen alpha of 0.0553, we suggest you to validate American Airlines Group's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

American Airlines Price Movement Analysis

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American Airlines Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific American Airlines insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on American Airlines' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases American Airlines insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

American Airlines Outstanding Bonds

American Airlines issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. American Airlines uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most American bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when American Airlines Group has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.

American Airlines Predictive Daily Indicators

American Airlines intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of American Airlines stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

American Airlines Corporate Filings

8K
27th of January 2026
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F3
19th of December 2025
The schedule filed by any person or group who acquires beneficial ownership of more than 5% of a voting class of a company's equity securities registered under Section 12 of the Act
ViewVerify
F4
17th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
15th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
11th of December 2025
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
13A
13th of November 2025
An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G
ViewVerify
F3
5th of November 2025
The report used by insiders such as officers, directors, and major shareholders (beneficial owners holding more than 10% of any class of the company's equity securities) to declare their ownership of a company's stock
ViewVerify
8K
23rd of October 2025
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify

American Airlines Forecast Models

American Airlines' time-series forecasting models are one of many American Airlines' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary American Airlines' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

American Airlines Bond Ratings

American Airlines Group financial ratings play a critical role in determining how much American Airlines have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for American Airlines' borrowing costs.
Piotroski F Score
7
StrongView
Beneish M Score
(2.87)
Unlikely ManipulatorView

American Airlines Debt to Cash Allocation

Many companies such as American Airlines, eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
American Airlines Group has 35.97 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 7.53, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. American Airlines has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for American to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.

American Airlines Total Assets Over Time

American Airlines Assets Financed by Debt

The debt-to-assets ratio shows the degree to which American Airlines uses debt to finance its assets. It includes both long-term and short-term borrowings maturing within one year. It also includes both tangible and intangible assets, such as goodwill.

American Airlines Debt Ratio

    
  35.0   
It seems about 65% of American Airlines' assets are financed through equity. Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the American Airlines' operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of American Airlines, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility.

American Airlines Corporate Bonds Issued

American Short Long Term Debt Total

Short Long Term Debt Total

37.77 Billion

At this time, American Airlines' Short and Long Term Debt Total is quite stable compared to the past year.

About American Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how American Airlines prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling American shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as American Airlines. By using and applying American Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying American entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Operating Profit Margin 0.03  0.03 
Gross Profit Margin 0.28  0.31 

Current American Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. American analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. American analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceConsensus# of Analysts
17.62Buy24Odds
American Airlines Group current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most American analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand American stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of American Airlines, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to American conference calls.
American Analyst Advice Details

American Stock Analysis Indicators

American Airlines Group stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how American Airlines stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading American Airlines shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying American Airlines stock analysis, traders can identify American Airlines position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow1.6 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding661.9 M
Total Stockholder Equity-3.7 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.9 B
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.831
Property Plant And Equipment Net39.6 B
Cash And Short Term Investments6.6 B
Cash1.7 B
Accounts Payable2.8 B
Net Debt34.3 B
50 Day M A14.9724
Total Current Liabilities24.5 B
Other Operating Expenses53 B
Non Current Assets Total49.6 B
Forward Price Earnings7.8864
Non Currrent Assets Other1.4 B
When determining whether American Airlines is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Airlines' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Airlines' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Airlines Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Passenger Airlines space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Airlines. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive American Airlines assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
Earnings Share
0.17
Revenue Per Share
82.782
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.025
Return On Assets
0.0165
The market value of American Airlines is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Airlines' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Airlines' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Airlines' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Airlines' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that American Airlines' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether American Airlines represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, American Airlines' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.